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LEDucation and Lightfair Confidence-O-Meter

2021 04 Confidence-O-Meter lightfair leducation.jpg

Will these important lighting events actually take place?  Here's our well-informed, yet completely unscientific gut-feel opinion.

UPDATED APRIL 6, 2021: 
(This page will be accessible from the inside.lighting home page and will be updated periodically.)

The simple truth is that one knows for sure whether two of the lighting industry’s most popular events will take place in New York City later this year. LEDucation and Lightfair people are working hard to plan each in-person trade show & conference. Exhibitors are moving forward with plans to build their booths. Attendees are booking hotel rooms – all in hopes of convening for these important lighting industry events.

A number of factors will impact whether these in-person events actually take place including: 

  • Government mandates (New York State and New York City)
  • Venues – How flexible will the New York Hilton and Javits Convention Center be with continued uncertainty? At some point event contracts may get to a toll gate ultimatum of “pay a huge chunk of money or pull out.”
  • Stakeholders: LEDucation and Lightfair people are working closely with exhibitors, partners and other stakeholders to ensure they act in the consensus best interest.

 

What’s happening in New York City:

Public Schools: Most students in the nation’s largest school district are remote learning. Mayor Bill de Blasio has committed to fully reopening the city’s school system this September for full-time instruction for any child who wants it.

Broadway Theaters: Currently, no major Broadway theaters are open for performances. The maximum number of attendees for live theater performances is 150, with all attendees having to prove they’ve had either a Covid vaccine or a recent negative Covid test.

Restaurants: Restaurants and other food service establishments in New York City can offer indoor dining at 50% of maximum capacity. New York State has increased the maximum size of in-person and catered private events from 50 people to 150 people.

 

LEDucation, August 17-18

We are 62% confident that the event will be able to accommodate 3,000 or more attendees. 
(Past events reportedly had 6,000+ attendees)

Three Reasons Why LEDucation May Happen

  1. The normally densely-populated event historically fills two large event rooms at the New York Hilton. They are expanding to four event rooms to create more space for booths and aisles.
  2. We are still 133 days away and most of the U.S. adult population is expected to be vaccinated by then.
  3. Multiple meetings industry sources cite an uptick in “In-Person Meeting Optimism” beginning Q3 2021 – among meeting planners, exhibitors and potential attendees.

Three Reasons Why LEDucation May Not Happen

  1. City and/or state regulations may continue to prohibit gatherings of a few thousand people
  2. If there is still too much uncertainty at the time when LEDucation has to 100% commit a huge chunk of money to the New York Hilton, that could cause a tough decision to be made.
  3. Bill de Blasio

 

Lightfair, October 25-29

We are 83% confident that the event will be able to accommodate 15,000 or more attendees.
(Past events reportedly had 28,000+ attendees)

Three Reasons Why Lightfair May Happen

  1. We are still 202 days away and most of the U.S. population is expected to be vaccinated by then.
  2. The Javits Convention Center is immense with super high ceilings and the flexibility to effectively space things out.
  3. The “Safer Floor, Safer Show” initiatives that Lightfair announced in 2020 provide many smart measures to help keep attendees and exhibitors safe.

Three Reasons Why Lightfair May Not Happen

  1. The Javits Center continues to push summer events off the calendar – a trend that hasn’t affected September/October yet, but may soon.
  2. The emergence of a gangster Covid variant that is unfazed by Covid vaccines.
  3. Bill de Blasio

 

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April 6, 2021

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