December 26, 2025   

Construction Starts Decline 20% With Fewer Megaprojects

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$390+ million projects get rolling in California, Indiana and Washington state

 

Total construction starts were down 20.5% in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.22 trillion, according to Dodge Construction Network. Nonresidential building starts fell by 13.4%, residential starts increased 13.3%, and nonbuilding starts dropped 43.7% over the month.

The decline was primarily driven by a lack of large-scale projects, with only two structures over $1 billion breaking ground during the month. Despite the monthly pullback, year-to-date performance through November showed total construction starts up 5.1% compared to the same period in 2024, reflecting continued underlying momentum in the sector.

 

Monthly Change
-20.5%
November 2025 vs October 2025
Annual Rate
$1.22T
Seasonally adjusted
YTD Performance
+5.1%
Through November 2025

 

ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW




MONTHLY CONSTRUCTION STARTS
Sector Nov 2025 Oct 2025 % Change
Nonresidential Building $485B $560B -13.4%
Residential Building $368B $325B +13.3%
Nonbuilding Construction $362B $643B -43.7%
Total Construction $1,215B $1,528B -20.5%
Source: Dodge Construction Network
Market Analysis
"A lack of megaproject activity contributed to a weak November for construction starts. There were only 2 structures over a billion dollars. Looking through the noise of the last two months, the trajectory of the last half of 2025 has been much better than the first half."
— Eric Gaus, Chief Economist, Dodge Construction Network

 

Sector Performance Highlights

Strong Growth Sectors
  • Multifamily (+35.6%): Significant expansion month-over-month
  • Institutional (+11.4%): Public buildings (+78.8%) and education (+32.1%) driving gains
  • Parking Garages (+30.5%): Notable commercial subsector growth
  • Environmental Public Works (+6.8%): Sustained nonbuilding strength
Declining Sectors
  • Utilities (-61.4%): Following previous strength
  • Manufacturing (-50.7%): Continued volatility
  • Offices and Data Centers (-40.5%): No one expects data center construction to permanently cool, but November posted a rare dip

 

Year-to-Date Performance (Through November 2025)

+5.1%
Total Construction
+4.7%
Nonresidential
-4.9%
Residential
+17.5%
Nonbuilding
12-MONTH ROLLING PERFORMANCE

12 Months Ending November 2025 vs. 12 Months Ending November 2024

+5.7%
Total Construction
+4.8%
Nonresidential
-3.6%
Residential
+18.0%
Nonbuilding
Source: Dodge Construction Network

 

Largest Projects Breaking Ground in November

MAJOR PROJECT STARTS

Top Nonresidential Projects

LAX Terminal 5 Renovation & Reconstruction
Los Angeles, California
$1.8B
Amazon – Southern Site – Data Center
Olive Township, Indiana
$800M
New UCSF Benioff Children's Hospital Campus
Oakland, California
$797M

Top Multifamily Projects

Residential Mixed Use
Seattle, Washington
$391M
Marine Drive Apartments/Parking – Phase 1
Buffalo, New York
$228M
Namdar Mixed-Use Residential-Swimming Pool-Parking Phase 2
Miami, Florida
$224M

 

Regional Performance (Month-over-Month)

+17.9%
Northeast
+3.7%
West
-7.7%
Midwest
-8.4%
South Atlantic
-49.2%
South Central

 

Data Source: Dodge Construction Network

Construction starts are presented as seasonally adjusted annual rates to account for normal seasonal variations in building activity.

 

 

 




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