March 25, 2026

Construction Starts Slide Sharply Amid Volatility

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Large $1.5+ billion projects get rolling in Florida, North Dakota and Texas

 

In construction, a single month can easily be mistaken for a broader trend. February’s 13.2% drop in total starts carries that risk, but the underlying dynamics suggest something more measured. Much of the decline reflects a comedown from January’s unusually strong, utility-driven activity rather than a sudden loss of momentum. Once that surge is set aside, the market looks less like it’s pulling back and more like it’s adjusting, with gains in some sectors offset by softness in others.

At the same time, large-scale data center projects continue to play an outsized role, driving spikes that can skew monthly comparisons. For Lighting People and contractors, the takeaway is a market that feels less predictable month to month, where a handful of major projects can influence the direction as much as broader demand. Here are highlights from this month's Dodge Construction Network construction starts report:

 

Total Starts Change
-13.2%
February 2026 vs January 2026
Annual Rate
$1.08T
Seasonally adjusted
12-Month Performance
+5.2%
Feb 2025 – Feb 2026
ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW




MONTHLY CONSTRUCTION STARTS
Sector Feb 2026 Jan 2026 % Change
Nonresidential Building $442B $375B +17.8%
Residential Building $374B $345B +8.3%
Nonbuilding Construction $265B $524B -49.4%
Total Construction $1,081B $1,245B -13.2%
Source: Dodge Construction Network | Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate, Billions of Dollars

 

Market Analysis
"After a weak start to the year, nonresidential and residential building starts steadily rebounded throughout February. Conversely, nonbuilding activity slowed down last month – normalizing from elevated levels in January."
— Sarah Martin, Associate Director of Forecast, Dodge Construction Network

 

Sector Performance Highlights

Strong Growth Sectors
  • Nonresidential (+17.8%): Led by offices & data centers surging 159.6% m/m
  • Multifamily (+15.9%): Continued expansion despite residential headwinds
  • Highways & Bridges (+18.8%): Steady public works investment
  • Institutional (+8.7%): Driven by education (+19.6%) and other institutional (+56.4%)
Declining Sectors
  • Electric Power/Utilities (-90.1%): Normalization after near-200% January spike
  • Manufacturing (-54.1%): Pullback following strong January performance
  • Healthcare (-46.6%): Continued retreat from prior-period highs
  • Single Family (-17.5% YTD): Persistent pressure from elevated interest rates

 

12-Month Performance (Feb 2025 vs Feb 2026)

+5.2%
Total Construction
+6.1%
Nonresidential
-6.3%
Residential
+17.0%
Nonbuilding

 

Sector Feb 2026 Feb 2025 % Change
Nonresidential Building $447B $449B +6.1%
Residential Building $368B $393B -6.3%
Nonbuilding Construction $405B $346B +17.0%
Total Construction $1,250B $1,188B +5.2%
Source: Dodge Construction Network | Unadjusted Moving Totals, Billions of Dollars

 

Largest Projects Breaking Ground in February

MAJOR PROJECT STARTS

Top Nonresidential Projects

Google Data Center Campus (Project Meitner)
Miami, Texas
$3.0B
Polaris Forge 2 AI Data Center
Harwood, North Dakota
$3.0B
Tampa International Airport Airside D
Tampa, Florida
$1.53B

Top Multifamily Projects

Bay View Houses Renovation
Canarsie, New York
$757M
Universal Building North – Geneva Residential Conversion
Washington, D.C.
$311M
Universal Building South – Geneva Residential Conversion
Washington, D.C.
$265M

 

Regional Performance (Month-over-Month)

+41.0%
Midwest
+4.2%
West
-4.9%
South Atlantic
-37.7%
South Central
-38.1%
Northeast

Data Source: Dodge Construction Network

Construction starts are presented as seasonally adjusted annual rates to account for normal seasonal variations in building activity. 12-month figures are unadjusted moving totals.

 

 

 




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