June 10, 2026

NEMA Survey Signals Mixed Mood Across Manufacturers

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Respondents reported steadier demand but slower customer decision-making

 

Each month, the National Electrical Manufacturers Association (NEMA) publishes the Electroindustry Business Confidence Index (EBCI), a monthly survey designed to gauge business sentiment among North American electrical equipment manufacturers, including many lighting companies. The index offers a quick read on how industry participants view conditions right now and where they expect things to stand six months out.

May brought a modest pullback in current conditions. The Current Conditions component slipped to 47.7, down 2.3 points from April's 50.0, moving back below the expansionary threshold after only one month above it. Half of all respondents described conditions as unchanged, while those reporting improvement fell to 23 percent. Respondents noted steady demand in certain end markets, but also cited rising costs and slower customer decision-making as ongoing headwinds.

Forward-looking sentiment told a different story. The Future Conditions component edged up to 72.7 from 70.5 in April, with 59 percent of respondents continuing to expect better conditions over the next six months. The share anticipating worse conditions actually fell, from 18 percent to 14 percent. Respondents flagged trade policy, inflation, and geopolitical developments as downside risks, but the overall tone remained constructive.

 
Current Conditions
47.7
▼ Down from 50.0
Six-Month Outlook
72.7
▲ Up from 70.5
Expansionary Threshold
50
Current below / Outlook above
ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW




Metric Current Conditions Six-Month Outlook
EBCI 47.7  72.7 
% Better 23%  59% 
% Worse 27%  14% 
% Unchanged 50%  27% 
 
What Changed in May

• Current Conditions declined to 47.7, slipping 2.3 points from April and falling back below the expansionary threshold of 50.

• Half of all respondents reported unchanged conditions, the largest share in recent months, while those reporting improvement fell to 23 percent.

• Future Conditions improved to 72.7, with 59 percent of respondents still expecting better conditions over the next six months.

• The share anticipating worse future conditions fell to 14 percent, down from 18 percent in April.

• Respondents cited rising costs, slower customer decision-making, and trade policy uncertainty as ongoing concerns, even as six-month expectations held firm.

 
EBCI Trend: April 2016 – May 2026
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Source: NEMA Business Intelligence, June 4, 2026

Methodology: The EBCI is based on monthly surveys of senior managers at NEMA member companies, designed to gauge the business environment of the electroindustry across North America. Readings above 50 indicate expansionary conditions for the sector.

 

Source: National Electrical Manufacturers Association (NEMA) Electroindustry Business Confidence Index (EBCI) survey. Used with permission.

 

 

 

 




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